Comments on: Guesstimate of NA Seats – 17 February 08 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/ Fri, 10 Feb 2012 11:15:43 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.1.2 By: The Langar Hall » Blog Archive » “All Eyez on Me,” Pakistan http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/#comment-52094 The Langar Hall » Blog Archive » “All Eyez on Me,” Pakistan Mon, 18 Feb 2008 11:05:58 +0000 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-27-february-08/#comment-52094 [...] cites, have ‘guestimated’ that the PPP will win 29% of the seats, PMLN 28%, and the PMLQ 19%. The PPP is expected to be [...] [...] cites, have ‘guestimated’ that the PPP will win 29% of the seats, PMLN 28%, and the PMLQ 19%. The PPP is expected to be [...]

]]> By: nota http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/#comment-52013 nota Mon, 18 Feb 2008 04:27:15 +0000 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-27-february-08/#comment-52013 @Awais "Makhdoom Javid Hashmi had no Chance winning from Multan. Its Doggers Seats dogger won it in 2002." You might be right but your logic is faulty. Well this is not 2002. Also in my home constituency most of those who won in 2002 have no chance of winning this time around, even with all the rigging. And yes, those seats have been in the "family" for sixteen years or longer. @Awais
“Makhdoom Javid Hashmi had no Chance winning from Multan.
Its Doggers Seats dogger won it in 2002.”

You might be right but your logic is faulty. Well this is not 2002. Also in my home constituency most of those who won in 2002 have no chance of winning this time around, even with all the rigging. And yes, those seats have been in the “family” for sixteen years or longer.

]]> By: pkelections http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/#comment-52004 pkelections Mon, 18 Feb 2008 02:48:50 +0000 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-27-february-08/#comment-52004 my estimate has NA-191 as leaning to Q, so unfortunately the late Zia Ul Haq's son will again be serving as a servant to Mush if my estimate is correct ( http://www.pkelections.com ) my estimate has NA-191 as leaning to Q, so unfortunately the late Zia Ul Haq’s son will again be serving as a servant to Mush if my estimate is correct ( http://www.pkelections.com )

]]> By: engrzia http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/#comment-52002 engrzia Mon, 18 Feb 2008 02:34:31 +0000 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-27-february-08/#comment-52002 @Kinnare Ijaz ul Haq is contesting from NA-191 BahawalNagar-IV (hope he will loose this time) ------------------ I do appreciate your comment ;) "Great Leader Gen Zia-ul-Haque" @Kinnare
Ijaz ul Haq is contesting from NA-191 BahawalNagar-IV
(hope he will loose this time)
——————
I do appreciate your comment ;) “Great Leader Gen Zia-ul-Haque”

]]> By: kinnare http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/#comment-51995 kinnare Mon, 18 Feb 2008 02:24:12 +0000 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-27-february-08/#comment-51995 Does any one know from where the son of our Great lead Gen Zia-ul-Haq is fighting from. Does any one know from where the son of our Great lead Gen Zia-ul-Haq is fighting from.

]]> By: Awais http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/#comment-51993 Awais Mon, 18 Feb 2008 02:17:23 +0000 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-27-february-08/#comment-51993 ********149-Close fight between Hashmi (N) and Dogar (PPP). Edge to Hashmi.****** this my home consituency. Makhdoom Javid Hashmi had no Chance winning from Multan. Its Doggers Seats dogger won it in 2002. ********149-Close fight between Hashmi (N) and Dogar (PPP). Edge to Hashmi.******

this my home consituency.

Makhdoom Javid Hashmi had no Chance winning from Multan.
Its Doggers Seats dogger won it in 2002.

]]> By: Awais http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/#comment-51991 Awais Mon, 18 Feb 2008 02:14:06 +0000 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-27-february-08/#comment-51991 come on this is rubbish PML N cannt win more than 45 seats any way. Mark my words. 1-PPP 2-PMLq 3-PML n 4-MQM 5-ANP come on this is rubbish
PML N cannt win more than 45 seats any way.

Mark my words.

1-PPP
2-PMLq
3-PML n
4-MQM
5-ANP

]]> By: kamz80 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/#comment-51976 kamz80 Mon, 18 Feb 2008 00:56:59 +0000 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-27-february-08/#comment-51976 Please ask your friends and family members to go out and cast there vote as thats how we can make real difference.We all condemn Mush and his regime in drawing rooms and on websites but very few people actually turn up on polling day.So today is our day to tell him GO MUSHARAF GO in its true and practical sense. Dont forget one vote can make a difference in winning or losing. Please ask your friends and family members to go out and cast there vote as thats how we can make real difference.We all condemn Mush and his regime in drawing rooms and on websites but very few people actually turn up on polling day.So today is our day to tell him GO MUSHARAF GO in its true and practical sense.
Dont forget one vote can make a difference in winning or losing.

]]> By: Salim2008 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/#comment-51948 Salim2008 Sun, 17 Feb 2008 22:25:48 +0000 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-27-february-08/#comment-51948 In response to a comment regarding inaccurate guesses in some constituencies, I would like to express the following views. 57-prediction quite accurate 58- Close fight between Malik Sohail (N) and Pervaiz Elahi (Q) with edge to latter 62-close fight with edge to Shahbaz Hussain of Q over Raja Safdar of N. 73-prediction quite accurate 74-prediction quite accurate 82-prediction quite accurate-Faisalabad urban-N-League strong 83-prediction quite accurate- Faisalabad urban-N-League strong 87-close fight but Sughra Imam has an edge 88-close fight but Abida Hussain has an edge 89-Q-league has made an adjustment with Sipah-e-Sahaba-prediction accurate 93-close fight with edge to Kashif Ashfaq (Q-league) 94-close fight with edge to Ch Asad ur Rahman (PML-N) and brother of Justice Ramday 103-Prediction accurate-Shahid Bhatti (N) is way ahead of Liaqat Bhatti (Q) 111-Prediction wrong-Firdous Ashiq Awan (PPP) is likely winner 114-Close fight with Ghulam Abbas (PPP) as the likely winner 124-Prediction quite accurate-lower middle class urban area with hatred against govt/Q 127-Prediction quite accurate- lower middle class urban area with hatred against govt/Q 140-Prediction inaccurate-Asif Ahmad Ali (PPP) is likely winner 141-Close fight but Rana Ishaq (N) with an edge over Sardar Asif Nakai (Q) 142-Close fight with Talib Nakai of Q with an edge over Rana Hayat (N) 149-Close fight between Hashmi (N) and Dogar (PPP). Edge to Hashmi. 157-Prediction seems inaccurate-Hamidyar Hiraj (Q) is likely winner. 183-Close fight with edge to Amir Shah of N-League 187-Close fight with edge to Saud Majid of N-League Additionally, my views on the predictions in the more constituencies are: 53-Close fight between Nisar Ali Khan (N) and Ghulam Sarwar (Q) 61-Faiz Tamman of N has an edge over Pervaiz Elahi of Q 100-Close fight between Tariq Yaqoob (PPP) and Bilal Ejaz (Q). Anybody can win 105-Close fight between Ch. Shujaat (Q) and Ahmad Mukhtar (PPP). Anybody can win 112-Close fight with edge to Rana Abdus Sattar (N) over Ch. Shujaat (Q) 146-Anybody amongst Rao Ajmal (Q), Abbas Shah (PPP) and Manzoor Wattoo can win 129-Close fight between Habibullah Warraich (Q) and Adil Umar (N). Anybody’s game 173-Close fight between Saif Khosa (N) and Awais Leghari (Q). Anybody can win. 189-Close fight with edge to Sahibzada Mumtaz (PPP) over Shahida Lalika (Q) 192-Close fight between Alam Anwar (Q) and Ahmad Mahmood (F). Anybody’s win. 193-Close fight with edge to Mian Abdussattar (PPP) over Zaib Jaffar (N) 195-Jahangir Tarin will win. There seems to be real paranoia regarding rigging in this website. Please bear in mind that this time the candidates are more vigilant than ever. To begin with, postal ballots (which were always polled in high numbers and a major part of rigging) are minimal. This is the result of individual watchfulness of the candidates. Other checks are also there. The media has been allowed to telecast/broadcast the results of each polling station after the same has been announced by the presiding officer. The announcement of combined tally of declared polling stations has also be allowed. This means that the results will be out much earlier than before and consequently no addition of votes of ghost polling stations. Those who have some experience of electioneering will agree that good management of election day takes care of any rigging. I know that many candidates from opposition parties have planned this. Lastly, in my humble view, the PPP will win 75-85 seats, PML-N will be second with about 65-75 seats and PML-Q third with 60-70 seats. The remaining seats will be divided among smaller parties and independents. Lets wait till tomorrow and everything will be clear. In response to a comment regarding inaccurate guesses in some constituencies, I would like to express the following views.

57-prediction quite accurate
58- Close fight between Malik Sohail (N) and Pervaiz Elahi (Q) with edge to latter
62-close fight with edge to Shahbaz Hussain of Q over Raja Safdar of N.
73-prediction quite accurate
74-prediction quite accurate
82-prediction quite accurate-Faisalabad urban-N-League strong
83-prediction quite accurate- Faisalabad urban-N-League strong
87-close fight but Sughra Imam has an edge
88-close fight but Abida Hussain has an edge
89-Q-league has made an adjustment with Sipah-e-Sahaba-prediction accurate
93-close fight with edge to Kashif Ashfaq (Q-league)
94-close fight with edge to Ch Asad ur Rahman (PML-N) and brother of Justice Ramday
103-Prediction accurate-Shahid Bhatti (N) is way ahead of Liaqat Bhatti (Q)
111-Prediction wrong-Firdous Ashiq Awan (PPP) is likely winner
114-Close fight with Ghulam Abbas (PPP) as the likely winner
124-Prediction quite accurate-lower middle class urban area with hatred against govt/Q
127-Prediction quite accurate- lower middle class urban area with hatred against govt/Q
140-Prediction inaccurate-Asif Ahmad Ali (PPP) is likely winner
141-Close fight but Rana Ishaq (N) with an edge over Sardar Asif Nakai (Q)
142-Close fight with Talib Nakai of Q with an edge over Rana Hayat (N)
149-Close fight between Hashmi (N) and Dogar (PPP). Edge to Hashmi.
157-Prediction seems inaccurate-Hamidyar Hiraj (Q) is likely winner.
183-Close fight with edge to Amir Shah of N-League
187-Close fight with edge to Saud Majid of N-League

Additionally, my views on the predictions in the more constituencies are:

53-Close fight between Nisar Ali Khan (N) and Ghulam Sarwar (Q)
61-Faiz Tamman of N has an edge over Pervaiz Elahi of Q
100-Close fight between Tariq Yaqoob (PPP) and Bilal Ejaz (Q). Anybody can win
105-Close fight between Ch. Shujaat (Q) and Ahmad Mukhtar (PPP). Anybody can win
112-Close fight with edge to Rana Abdus Sattar (N) over Ch. Shujaat (Q)
146-Anybody amongst Rao Ajmal (Q), Abbas Shah (PPP) and Manzoor Wattoo can win
129-Close fight between Habibullah Warraich (Q) and Adil Umar (N). Anybody’s game
173-Close fight between Saif Khosa (N) and Awais Leghari (Q). Anybody can win.
189-Close fight with edge to Sahibzada Mumtaz (PPP) over Shahida Lalika (Q)
192-Close fight between Alam Anwar (Q) and Ahmad Mahmood (F). Anybody’s win.
193-Close fight with edge to Mian Abdussattar (PPP) over Zaib Jaffar (N)
195-Jahangir Tarin will win.

There seems to be real paranoia regarding rigging in this website. Please bear in mind that this time the candidates are more vigilant than ever. To begin with, postal ballots (which were always polled in high numbers and a major part of rigging) are minimal. This is the result of individual watchfulness of the candidates. Other checks are also there. The media has been allowed to telecast/broadcast the results of each polling station after the same has been announced by the presiding officer. The announcement of combined tally of declared polling stations has also be allowed. This means that the results will be out much earlier than before and consequently no addition of votes of ghost polling stations. Those who have some experience of electioneering will agree that good management of election day takes care of any rigging. I know that many candidates from opposition parties have planned this.

Lastly, in my humble view, the PPP will win 75-85 seats, PML-N will be second with about 65-75 seats and PML-Q third with 60-70 seats. The remaining seats will be divided among smaller parties and independents.

Lets wait till tomorrow and everything will be clear.

]]> By: nota http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-17-february-08/#comment-51920 nota Sun, 17 Feb 2008 21:30:15 +0000 http://pkpolitics.com/2008/02/17/guesstimate-of-na-seats-27-february-08/#comment-51920 Oh man -- this is just too wild! Just did some research on the "Foreign Election Observer" I mentioned above and was surprised to find so much.... Beisdes being a lota herself (ex-Tory), this lady herself has been involved in every kind of election rigging back in the UK. Among them sleeping with a politician leading to political appointment (she was married, he was married), ballot stuffing, diverting public resources towards campaigns, and getting herself appointed to a position that some one is supposed to be elected to .... Don't think she will have any trouble fitting into the political culture here, will she :) Oh man — this is just too wild!

Just did some research on the “Foreign Election Observer” I mentioned above and was surprised to find so much….

Beisdes being a lota herself (ex-Tory), this lady herself has been involved in every kind of election rigging back in the UK. Among them sleeping with a politician leading to political appointment (she was married, he was married), ballot stuffing, diverting public resources towards campaigns, and getting herself appointed to a position that some one is supposed to be elected to ….

Don’t think she will have any trouble fitting into the political culture here, will she :)

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