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For Election 2013: PPPP+PML Q possible winning seats from Punjab

(126 posts)
  1. Here goes my analysis for Punjab for PPPP and PML Q.

    Lahore 1
    Multan 2
    Pindi division 2
    (attock, texala,pindi,chakwal, jehlum)
    Okara 4
    fsd 3
    pakpattan+shaiwal+dera ghazi khan division + bahawalpure divison 14
    sargodha division + gujra wala
    + mandi bahodin 4
    khanawal 3
    gujrat 3
    sailkot 1
    lodhara+ vehari 4
    narowal+hafizabad 0
    Nakana shib +
    sheikhpura =1
    kasor 1
    ttsingh 2
    jhang 3
    total 48

    Note:
    48 seats for pppp and pml q from Punjab if fasil salah hayat and sheikh waqas and all other big names remain with them and both parties able to come at a consensus of signal symbol for election.

    both parties won 50+28=78 seats in total in 2008 from Punjab.While at 29 other seats there combine vote was more than winner. but due to bad performance, lack of Bibi factor or shadat factor, electable leaving the parties, youth emergence, new voter list, pti and pml n in govt in punjab + media major factor to reduce seats.

    while i took all other factors including sariki province salogen etc.

    Please comments in a constructive way.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 9:16 #
  2. LHR

    How many seats are there in total in Punjab?

    Does that mean of the remaining seats PMLN will win about 7 and the rest go to IK's paty? If so Zaradri+Chaudarys+IK will have ultimate majority in Punjab and can together bring CHANGE in Pakistan

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 9:30 #
  3. @Lhr

    please do not throw garbage at this post this post is for serious person

    come with stats

    there are 148 seats for punjab.they both got 78 of them while 3 candidates was independent and one for PML F while 66 goes to pml n (results of 2008) .

    i will update soon the pti seats from punjab too with the names of the seats.

    i hope you will use decent language as i believe Lahore's people are educated the lover of Data Shaib so be good in talking.

    thanks

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 9:42 #
  4. LHR

    @MuazzamAli

    My post was serious. Why does it hurt you that IK is in alliance with Zaradri and Chaudharies....and can bring CHANGE with their help.

    I am also predicting future results like you are and my predictions are based on facts as IK has said so....PTI will win remaining 93 seats while PMLN about 7.

    where did i use indecent language.....may be word CHANGE is indecent for people like you who are with status-quo parties but my friend mark my words as CHANGE will come because IK has said so

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 9:50 #
  5. @LHR brother

    1) you ask total number of seats from me. and you said remaining 93 will won by I.k. (Brother you may give 148 to IK i have issue)

    BUTT PLEASE YOU AN OTHER LINK TO GIVE 148 SEATS OR 93 SEATS TO PTI THIS LINK IS JUST FOR PMLQ+PPPP
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    NO DISCUSSION ABOUT PML N OR PTI

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    FOR YOU THERE ARE ALWAYS 3 INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE WINNER FORM PUNJAB FROM 1947 AND PML F IS SURE FOR ONE SEAT. SO BROTHER MY JUST ONE FACT MADE YOUR 93 STATEMENT FALSE.
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    AGAIN I WILL SAY THIS LINK IS JUST FOR STATS NOT FOR DREAMS OR SIXES OR SEVEN.
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    Hope you have understand what i have said.

    (lack of knowledge is always dangerous that is for you my brother Mr. LHR )

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 9:54 #
  6. best way to check my analysis
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    i have given the names of the each constituency. our member of the forum from each constituency can guide us better.and we can update it.

    ONE VERY IMPORTANT POINT:
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    THIS PAGE IS JUST FOR PMLQ+PPPP SEATS FOR PUNJAB 2013 ELECTION.
    PLEASE do not involve pml n or pti any more at that page. if any one want to discuss pti or pml n create a new link. this link is just for the seats of pmlq and pppp.
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    Hope a healthy discussion will move forward first time at this forum.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 9:57 #
  7. Gjanj

    What about Jhelum seats

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 10:07 #
  8. farhansaeed345

    Good post brother..aik baat confirm ha k pmlq+ppp alliance heran kun result day ga.punjab men ppp 2nd hu ge after pmln..esi waja se pmlq k ex memberx again pmlq men a rahay hen kyn k in logon ka apna bhe kafi vote bank ha plus both joint parties ka vote in ko agr par gya to result heran kun hun ****.but atleast lhr and pindi yay alliance kam nai karay ga.inshallah pmln will lead 4rm punjab..

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 10:18 #
  9. @Gjang

    jehulm falls in to pindi division

    i have given 2 seats to them from pindi divison.

    i think they may get provincial seat but will lose national assembly seats.

    from chakwal jehlum pml n won all seats with good margin.even pppp+pmlq combine votes are less than that.(talking in general may be one constituency exceptional)

    pppp+pmlq may won two seats from attock and 1 from pindi= so total 3

    or

    1+1 formation one from attock and one form pindi total 2

    or may be 2 attock +0 pinidi = total 2

    so 2-3 for pindi division to pppp+pml q. benefit of doubt goes with 2 as both cities are of north. if they are from south then benefit of doubt goes with 3.
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    @for my brother farhansaeed

    brother i hope you do not mind.

    please we should set few strict rules for us at this link.

    one do not say about pti or pml n. just talk about pppp and pml q.

    i agree with your comment.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 10:18 #
  10. Lahoree

    @LHR
    Janab...Let's Start from Lahore Itself, How many seats you accords to PTI...name it....will discuss in detail.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 10:23 #
  11. @ brother lahoree

    you do start counting PTI seats

    but please remain this link and its points for the title of the discussion.

    when the time will come we will bound our self to rules.

    rule says just talk about the title news. do not start number of other stories having different title in a single title.

    i hope you will not mind it.

    soon i will give a link in detail of each constituency of Punjab for PTI too

    if you have knowledge, as lack of knowledge is always dangers should start a new link.

    thanks i hope you will not mind.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 10:30 #
  12. Adonis

    I have problem accepting the basic premise that the votes polled for PPP and Q league candidates respectively in 2008 will go to a joint candidate in 2013 as both parties are in alliance now.

    PML-Q never had any "party" vote bank, it was always a collection of electables. As for PPP, its 'party' vote bank has significantly diminished and whatever is left is unlikely to go for a Q league candidate. Where there is no PPP candidate, PPP voters are likely to not vote or vote for PTI instead of giving their votes to Q league.

    The Q league 'electables', in constituencies where Q was runners up to PPP, have no incentive for extending support to PPP candidate who in most cases is their main regional rival. They'll instead seek another party's ticket or contest as independent.

    I do not see any significant electoral benefit for Q-PP combined candidates. It is too unnatural of an alliance to have any significant support among voters. Not more than 20 seats at best.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 10:36 #
  13. @adnoins

    my basic premise is

    1)Electable for Q can win for pml q with the sincere help of pppp. that is why few who left pti or join pti are coming to pmlq.
    2)yes! pml q has not have any significant vote as a party.
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    adions these 49 seats i believe only possible if
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    condition number 1
    electables like fasil salah haya, sheikh waqas akram, raza hiraj etc will remain in pml q.
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    and 2nd condition: if they fight on a single symbol
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    3rd condition: if they support each other from heart and this mixture remained constructive.
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    4th condition: no UN-usuall thing happens
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    if these conditions met then they can get these 49.
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    now brother it will be pleasure if you highlight where i have given extra seats to them.

    thanks.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 10:43 #
  14. .

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 10:57 #
  15. chaudary801

    Bro I agree with u on Pindi in Pindi ND FSD devision But i tend to disagree with U on Multan and Okara ... Frm okara many Big guns have joined PMLn like Rao Ajmal , Syed Subtain Gulzaar Plus ex Dis.Nazim Gillani (i forgot his ful name ) nd he is very strong..
    So my calculation is like that
    3 frm FSD....
    3 maximam frm Okara
    2 frm pindi
    2 frm Multan
    1 frm lahore
    Note : Multan will b very close to call.... If boson joins us , he wil be sure winner than..
    so at the monet in above divisions I give 11 seats to PPP+PMLQ maximam..

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:10 #
  16. chaudary801

    Nd for narowal + hafizabad = 0

    Nakana shib + sheikhpura =0

    kasor =1

    ttsingh =1

    jhang =2
    Total Maxima 4 seats frm these districts

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:13 #
  17. chaudary801

    kahnewal.... Maximam 1 for PPP
    Sialkot .....mximam 2 for PPP
    Gjrat ....... maxiam 3 for ppp
    so total 6 maximam for PPP for me

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:14 #
  18. chaudary801

    sargodha division + gujra wala + mandi bahodin 4

    lodhara+ vehari =4

    So total in these districts = 8
    I agree on this but this is a maximam Number ...

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:14 #
  19. chudhry801a & Muazzamali on same page on in these constitutes
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    MULTAN
    pindi division
    kasor
    lodhara+vehari
    gujrat
    sargodha+madni bhaodin+gujrawal
    fasilabad
    narowal+hafizabad

    these are the constituencies where both agrees with there number.

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    .must remember there number are only possible if all goes good for pppp+pmlq .

    more constructive comments will be well comed and soon we will come towards a better conclusion.
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    @ chudhary
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    ANy seat from Lahore????????

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:15 #
  20. chaudary801

    While in pakpattan+shaiwal+dera ghazi khan division + bahawalpure divison my Calculation is like that ...
    11 maximam in these divisions

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:15 #
  21. chaudary801

    My total calculation in Punjab for PPP+PMLQ is like that
    pindi+okara+lahore+multan = 11
    pattan+shwl+dera+ Bwp div = 11
    Khanenwl+Sialkot+ Gujrat = 06
    Nwl+Hafiz+shikpra+kasr+TTsing+Jhng= 04
    srgdha+gujwala+Mnadi+lDH+Vehrai = 08

    Total = 40
    Bro that is my calculation....
    I may be wrong ... tahnks for asking me any way....

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:16 #
  22. chaudary801

    @ Muazzam ...
    Ya I wrote 1 seat for them maximam...

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:22 #
  23. Here goes the difference b/w the number of seats
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    B/W THE ANALYSIS OF CHUDHARY801 AND MINE
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    CONSTITUENCY *** MUAZZAMALI ========== / CHUDHARY801

    Lahore ******* 1 ====== /1
    Multan ******* 2 ==================== /2
    Pindi division ******* 2 ==================== /2
    (attock, texala,pindi,chakwal, jehlum)
    Okara ******* 4 ==================== /3
    fsd ******* 3 ==================== /3
    pakpattan+shaiwal+dera ghazi khan division + bahawalpure divison ******* 14 ==================== /11
    sargodha division + gujra wala
    + mandi bahodin ******* 4 =================== /4
    khanawal ******* 3 ============== /1
    gujrat ******* 3 =================== /3
    sailkot ******* 1 =================== /2
    lodhara+ vehari ******* 4 ================== /4
    narowal+hafiZABD******* 0 =================== /0
    Nakana shib +
    sheikhpura ******* 1 ==================== /0
    kasor ******* 1 ==================== /1
    ttsingh ******* 2 ==================== /1
    jhang ******* 3 ==================== /2
    total ***** 48 ================ /40

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    thanks chudhary801 for telling us your analysis.
    8 seats difference for you give 27%(these are 40) seats at maximum to pppp+pmlq from punjab while i give 32% seats (these are 48).
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    more such analysis are well comed.
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    @chudhary801 now please work extensively for PTI and after few days and after the conclusion of this link we will start pti performance and then a new link for pml n and then one for others.that will conclude Punjab.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:28 #
  24. khawajakhalid

    I am being a PMLN supporter through out my life but I beleive that After the death of Benazir agar koi leader Nawaz sharif ko takker day gha next election main to woh IMran khan hai.I think National assembly(punjab & KPK)ki 185 seats pay asal mukabla pmln and PTI ka hai.SAREKI SOOBA KA NAARA BHI PPP KO NAHI BACHA PAYEGHA ELECTION MAIN.AZAAABE eLAHI jitnay bhi apnay electables jama ker lay pmlq will not be winning more then 5 seats with or with out having alliance with ppp.PPP may get 10 seats from punjab.Agar security situatin teek rahi aur nawaz sharif nay pooray mulk main toofani dooray kiye to pmln simple majority lay sakti hai.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:41 #
  25. chaudary801

    @ KhawajaKhalid bahi...
    Bro plz try to calculate PPP expected seats in ur opinion On districts base ..... like Muazaam bhai and i wrote ... for example if u say that Q and PPP il get 10 seats out of punjab then plz telll k frm where they can win seats ... Thanks ....

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:49 #
  26. Adonis

    Starting from north, in Pindi division, Q-PP alliance is in competition only on NA-51.

    In Sargodha div, this alliance is in competition on 2 seats only NA-64 and 67.

    In Faisalabad div, NA-75,78,79,80,81,88 & 91 are in play.

    In Gujranwala div, NA-104,105,111,116.

    In Lahore div, zero.

    In Sahiwal div, NA-143,144,145,146,147,162,163.

    In Multan Div, NA-148,151,154,156,158,159,167,168,170,177.

    In Dera Ghazi Khan div, zero.

    In Bahawalpur div, Na-183,184,188,190,193,194.

    So in my opinion, there are 37 seats on which Q-PP alliance is in competition and which are a toss-up. Assuming it wins about half and loses half, it would end up with 20 seats.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:50 #
  27. LHR

    People here are talking about PMLN and PPP & PMLQ

    They are fogetting the biggest political force in Pakistan led by IK

    Soornami will sweep all elections and these analysis will become laughing stock

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:52 #
  28. Adonis

    @ LHR

    You are right. But this discussion is about "silver" and "bronze" medal winners. "Gold" will certainly go to tsunami.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:54 #
  29. khawajakhalid

    @ chaudhry pmlq seats are as follows
    2 from gujrat
    one from kusoor
    one from attock and may be one or 2 from jhang

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 11:59 #
  30. LHR

    @Adonis
    thanks for clarification and I apologies for ruining your post "18 Sep 2012 11:50" with thoughtful analysis by my 'golden' logic immediately after that.

    but since you have clarified who gets the gold....i will refrain!

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:00 #
  31. khawajakhalid

    @ chaudhry ppp seats are as follows
    ryk 1
    multan 1(151 0r 148)
    muzzafar garh 2(jamsheed dasti,hina khar)
    lahore 1(gurki)
    attock 1(salem haider)
    sarghodha(tasneem quereshi)1
    sialkot(aashiq awan) 1
    okara(samsamm bukhari)1
    Faisalabad(textile minister forgot his name) 1

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:06 #
  32. @adoins

    THANKS FOR YOUR OUTPUT.you think pppp+pmlq will give 20 SEATS. IF YOU YOU THEM IN ODDER OF DIVISIONS AS WE HAVE DIVIDED IT WILL HELP ALL OF US TO COMPARE. IT WILL FURTHER HELP US FROM WHERE WE DO DIFFER.

    @khawajakhalid

    brother now tell where pppp may win. take pppp and pmlq a single party.

    @ LHR no one here talking about pml n just 2 or 3 comments (exceptional cases) and 3 comments has been posted for PTI.

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    AS THIS LINK IS JUST FOR PPPP AND PML Q.
    ...SO PLZ REMAIN WITH THEM.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:07 #
  33. Adonis

    @ Moazzam Ali

    I have actually put them in order of divisions, instead of making halwa as you seem to prefer. There are 9 divisions in punjab.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:13 #
  34. khawajakhalid

    Muazzam bahi
    Even if they combine that will not make any effect on the final result.PMLN have nawaz sharif as their ace and pti have imran khan so in kay darmiyan asal mukabla hai punjab aur kpk main.ppp lacks heavey weight as a leader like BB in next election and they are totally relying on Azzabb e Elahi to fetch them few seats in punjab.I gave them 15 seats in punjab 10 to ppp and 5 to pmlq

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:15 #
  35. @ KHAWAJKHALID

    HERE GOES THE SEATS GIVEN BY KHAWAJKHALID

    CONSTITUENCY PPPP+PMLQ= TOTAL OF PML Q+ PPPP

    Lahore 1
    Multan 1
    Pindi division 1+1=2
    (attock, texala,pindi,chakwal, jehlum)
    Okara 1
    fsd 1
    pakpattan+shaiwal+dera ghazi khan division + bahawalpure divison 3
    sargodha division + gujra wala
    + mandi bahodin 1
    khanawal 0
    gujrat 0+2=2
    sailkot 1
    lodhara+ vehari 0
    narowal+hafizabad 0
    Nakana shib +
    sheikhpura 0
    kasor 0+1=1
    ttsingh 0
    jhang 0+2=2
    total 16

    @ ADOINS

    It will be pleasure if put your analysis in that way it will help all of us better to understand and compare.Adoins i understand each constituency by number as you have mention i just said for other if you put them in that way it will help of us. thanks for your kind response.
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    . I WILL PUT THEM IN ODDER IF YOU FINAL YOUR 20 OUT MENTIONED 39.

    @ khawajakhalid

    yes brother i agree with you Leaders are aces and PPPP do not have any now. yes people hate ezabaelahi.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:16 #
  36. Sharif Aadmi

    Interesting.

    There are around 48 seats in South punjab and in 2008 pml-n managed only 10/11 of those. Rest went to ppp/pml-q barring couple couple to independents/pml-f.

    This time around ,with all the hue and cry for 'Sriaki' province plus ppp/pml-q alliance plus pti plus ignorance of south punjab by pml-n , i dont' see much for Pml-n. If it could just retain its 10/11 from this 48 , it would be great.

    Similary , if we look at attock districk , the combination of q & ppp is very deadly on all 3 seats.

    Also , if we look at faisalabad division , barring urban seats of fsd , rest of ppp/q combination seems very deadly.

    In fsd , i m not sure about couple of big guns , Rana Zahid Touseef , Ch.Asim Nazir and Ilyas Jutt.

    If someone can update about these , fsd pictue will become more clear. I think first of these 2 guys have joined pml-n

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:20 #
  37. khawajakhalid

    @ sharif aadmi pmln will win those seats in south punjab where there is concentration of punjabis and urdu speaking and where they have inflential seraki speaking leaders
    bakker( both seats for pmln)
    Layyah( both seats for pmln)
    Ryk(as of now 2 seats for pmln)
    MULtan (149,150,152,153)
    Bahawal nagar(3 seats for pmln)
    Bahawalpur atleast 3 seats for pmln
    khanewal all 3 seats for pmln
    muzafar garh 2 seats for pmln
    Dg khan 2 seats for pmln
    rajan pur atleast 1 seat out of 2
    mianwali one seat

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:30 #
  38. @ SHARIF ADMI

    BROTHER please do not discuss here any other party except pppp and pml q.

    yes you mentioned 3 name all have joined pml n and sure ticket holders 1st two are and all other who remained runner up on pml q ticket has joined except from one or two.you should first do more research. Bhawalpure issue similer to sariki issue. both have nearly smiler seats. if we exclude Multan.

    i hope you go throw some research at south Punjab then sure put your analysis in a statistical way.

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    .PLZ JUST STICK TO THE TITLE OF THE POST.
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    .@khawaja brother

    i understand your emotion Plz brother stick be remain stick to the topic. soon we will start a link for PML N and for PTI separately.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:37 #
  39. LHR

    @SA
    Re: "interesting"

    I guess situation in Punjab or rest of Pakistan excluding MQM held areas of Khi and Hyderabad is different. Winning elections in previous year does not guarantee in any way that same parties/person will win as people are free to vote based on performance of individuals, policies of parties etc etc

    This is different to what happens in no go areas of MQM where sector incharge decides for the whole halqa who is going to vote for whom

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:47 #
  40. chaudary801

    Sharif Aadmi bhai...
    janb Ch Asim Nazir has joined PMLN officily ... he will be candidate frm NA 77 while his Brother Ch Zahid Nazir will be candidate frm NA 75 nd Ch Zahid also help PMLN to Win Rai Salahuddin Kharal frm NA 76.... so na 76 nd 77 r sure for PMLn while NA 75 is very close among Ch zahid nazir , Sahi and Bajwa ....
    Nd Bro as for south Punjab is concerrned ... ther R two kind of seats ... Rural and Urban .... Urabn seats mostly consists of Non sirakies (Urdu speaking nd Punjabies) .. there r absolutlt no cahnace on these Urban seats for PPP+PMLQ on siraki province base bulk that issue will damage PPP in urban parts of South Punjab....
    While Rural seats of south depends upon electables ... now in 2008 alll electbales of rural areas were in PPP nd in PMLQ... nd they finsh 1st nd 2nd ... now in adjustment if ppp candidates contest then Q's candidate wil shift to an another party for sure Like Bosan has shifted to PTI .. nd if Q,s candidate contests in adjustment then PPP's cabdidate will shift to another party ... it wil be difficult for these candiadtes to support each other becoz inn ki dusmani bohat poraani hai ... if some how or other these Candidates join hands then for sure PPP nd PMLQ wil win but for brother this is immpossible that they wil join hands ...... like na 153 multan here Dewan Aashiq of Q has won against Qasim noon who was IND ..but later he joined PPP. now as u know k Dewan Aashiq MNA is with PMLn so qasim wil be PPP candidate ...

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:49 #
  41. LHR

    @MoazzamAli

    I agree in this post ONLY we should stick to just 2 parties and only discuss halqas in the same order as you have suggested...even if it looks like halwa

    btw. Did you get training from IK?

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:53 #
  42. @LHR
    brother i never say shut up to you or any one.brother i posted the analysis in a bit wrong order (management wise) i should post it in 36 parts or in 9 districts. if all of us use same method it will help all of us to understand.
    @chudhary

    i agree with you. But brother take care try to focus at the topic for better understanding.brother cheek your private messages.

    @ sharifadmi

    brother hope you do more research and come up with your analysis abt pppp and pml q in punjab. what ever may be your analysis it will help us to understand you.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 12:56 #
  43. LHR

    @MuazzamAli

    If @chaudary bhai deviates from topic and talks about PMLN in the thread you say "I agree with you chodhary"

    But when i do that for PTI you ask me to shut up and move on?

    Why such discrimination?

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 13:10 #
  44. Sharif Aadmi

    Muzzam Ali

    First u need to check your tone which is too authoritative. U have initiated this thread and definately u own this thread but u can't dicatate fellow bloggers. While doing analysis,other factors also considered and they come into play which u can't avoid.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 13:16 #
  45. Adonis

    @ LHR

    This proves that these leaguers are indeed afraid of tsunami and the great Imran Khan.

    But you should not be disheartened by this discrimination. For sure, the great Imran Khan will give a treatment of "shock and awe" to these status-quo forces.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 13:16 #
  46. LHR

    Adonis

    Yes i fully agree. But in which country is our Great Khan Sahib nowadays?

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 13:38 #
  47. @sharif admi

    sorry brother if any one felt my tone authenticated. i have no attention like that. brother you are right. thanks for doing constructive criticism i will take care of it.again thanks a lot.

    @ adoins and @ LHR
    i did not said any word about pti or pml n. brother due to so much posting it is taking much time for me to comment must read my comment ahead of you.

    @ admin

    what should one do so our comments take less time to send post????????? after one post one has to wait for more than 10 minutes.

    @ thanks to all 1st page gave us a lot information hope we keep continue it at 2nd page with discussion at topic.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 13:40 #
  48. LHR

    MoazzamAli
    "@ admin. what should one do so our comments take less time to send post"

    Bro try the following:

    - Join the Soornami Tehreek it is much faster than any other party........but general advice is to hold on tightly to pagri and dhoti as people from Central Punjab eg Sheikhupura are gernerally naughty.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 13:49 #
  49. Sharif Aadmi

    Muzzam

    Its ook . Lets move on.

    Here is my rough estimate

    RWP Div (3)

    (RWP , ATK , CHK , JH) )( 0, 2, 1, 0)

    SGD Div (3)
    (SGD , KHS,MW , BK) ) (2,0,0,0)

    FSD Div (7
    (FSD , jh , tts) (3,3,1)

    Guj Div ( 9)

    (GUJ , HAbad, GT, Mbd,skt,nw) ( 2,1,3,2,1,0)

    lhr ( 8)

    (Lhr , skhp , qs , okr) ( 0, 2,2,4)

    multan (12)

    (mul , ldh,kw, sh,pkp,vh ) ( 2,2,3,2,0,3)

    dgkhan (5)

    (dgkhan , rjpur, mghar, lyaah) ( 0,1,3,1)

    bwp (7)
    (bwp , bng, ryk) (2,2,3)

    My estimate for pml-q/ppp combination comes to 53. And these r the minimum i think.

    Adonis bhai,

    Interestinly u have given zero seat to ppp from dgkhan division , probably , u missed out on Muzzafar garh district absolutely.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 14:03 #
  50. chaudary801

    @ Sharif Aadmi Bhai ...
    bro How do u see My analysis abt South Punjab politics ...

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 14:04 #
  51. @ sharifadmi

    pakpattan+shaiwal+dera ghazi khan division + bahawalpure divison 14

    brother i did not give "Zero" i give 14 seats to pppp+pmlq here while chudhary given 11.

    good i given 48, chudhary given 40, one brother given 15/16 you have given 53. so we are close and have a difference just at few points.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 14:15 #
  52. chaudary801

    SA Bhai...
    In Muzaffar Garh PPP can win 2 seats maximam... one of dasti na 178 nd NA 177 if Hina Remains In PPP... while if Both nawaz zadas Join hands then Dasti wil also lose ...
    while as well as PMLQ is concerned then Bro all candidates which contested on PMLQ ticket has left PMLQ nd joined PMLN. BTW these PMLQ,s candidates lost only by maximam 10K votes ...only Hina rabbni won with 30K lead ...
    these r the Q candidates which has now left Q
    NA 176.... Hinjraa family(ex dis.Nazim sultan hinra).Afzal hinjra lost election By 4K votes .. Hinjraa family as a whole now in PMLN..
    NA 177... Khalid Gormani who lost By 30K votes is in PTI now..
    NA 178.. Nawabzada Iftikhar who lost to dasti By 15K votes in in PMLN..
    NA 179... Abdullah Bukhari family who lost to PPP with 20k is in PMLn... BTW This family has won two Bye elections as IND on PA seats which comes under NA 179... one is PP 258 which bye election was held in 2008 nd other is PP 259 (Whos election was held in 2011 I guess ...this family has joind PMLN ... nd this time around Abdulla Bukhari also annoced to conetst frm NA 180...
    NA 180.... Saradr Aashiq Goopang who lost with 5K votes on Q ticket hasnt joined any party yet but his son who is MPA is in Forword Block...

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 14:17 #
  53. Sharif Aadmi

    Ch,

    difference is that u r talking of max while i m talking of minimum.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 14:34 #
  54. Sharif Aadmi

    muzzam

    may i ask why u clubbed sahiwal , pakpattan with dgkhan div and bwp div ?

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 14:44 #
  55. Shirazi

    40-53 is the range given by primarily PMLN bloggers for PPP. I think it's very rosy for PPP and very conservative projection for PMLN. For PPP the best case scenario is IK peeling off significant # of seats from PMLN perhaps 30+ from Punjab. If he does this 40+ number for PPP 'd be even more significant. PPP can get 30 odd seats from smaller provinces. In Punjab 20 odd would be enough for PPP to be major player in coming days. So I agree more with Adinios saab than others who generously projected 40+ seats.

    The impossible projection is PTI's seats. That will determine who will be the next PM and CMs. PTI may emerge as dominant player but more llikely it will be slightly better than 'Zalmo Qazi aa raha hai' saga. And if that is the case PMLN should form gov both in Punjab and Center.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 14:45 #
  56. chaudary801

    @ Shirazi Bhai...
    thats is ground reality .... but PPP for me wil remain in b/w 20-40 seats ..... I dieing for Write bat Gr8 IK's expected seats but Muazaam Bhai isnt allowing to write this on this thread... Lolz

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 14:51 #
  57. Sharif Aadmi

    Muzzam

    Man , U r too anxious .

    If u have read my comments , it said that Adonis bahi has given 0 seats to ppp/q in dgkhan.

    didn't attribute it to u :)

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 14:53 #
  58. Shirazi

    @Chaudhry Saab

    You will keep PTI's projection to single digit and that will explode the site. There is a reason Muzzam Saab wants you to save your number for some other day. He doesnot want tsunami tide to run over his thread.

    :)

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 15:02 #
  59. chaudary801

    ahahahahahah ya may be that wud be case..

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 15:10 #
  60. Pak_Power

    I can’t say much about other places but from Sialkot no chance for any other party, PML(N) going to win every single MNA and MPA seat.
    NA-111 Fardos Awan won’t win this time Things had changed so dramatically in Sialkot politics. Entry of Viryokeys in PML (N) just completely erased any chance of Fardos Awan winning NA-111 for PPPPMLQ. Bajwah Biradry vote is already in PML(N) pocket because of Idress Bajwah. so anyone dreaming of seeing Fardos Awan win going to be very disappointed after election day.

    Posted 2 years ago on 18 Sep 2012 15:11 #

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