The impossible projection is PTI's seats. That will determine who will be the next PM and CMs. PTI may emerge as dominant player but more llikely it will be slightly better than 'Zalmo Qazi aa raha hai' saga. And if that is the case PMLN should form gov both in Punjab and Center.
Quite agreed to your projection of PTI but if so is the case, its going to hit PML-N more badly and would be too hard for PML-N to form govt.
I remember in 93 when this QAZI saga happened , ppp got 86 seats and pml-n 72 seats and there were 35 seats on which PML-N + PIF (QAZI) votes were more than PPP winners . Although PIF managed only 2 seats (one from dir , one from chitral and on from khi due to mqm bycott)
So , if PTI performs better than PIF (just assume it gets 10 seats ) but swings the balance of 20 odd seats in favour of PPP/q , it becomes altogether different ball game.